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Commercial Real Estate Collapse Quickening

Posted by Peter on Oct 2nd, 2009 and filed under Repossession. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0. You can leave a response or trackback to this entry

Excerpt From Original Source With Comments & Permission Where Appropriate with original link below
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Announcements continue to roll in from retailers that have decided to close stores, slow expansion plans or cease operations altogether.

From Blockbuster to Payless, we update our 2009 roundup with the latest news from the third quarter. See which retailers are closing (at least some) of their doors. Are any of them your favorites?

Blockbuster Video
Smith & Hawken
Payless ShoeSource
Crabtree & Evelyn
Big 10 Tires
Bank of America
Citigroup
PacSun
Zales Jewelers
Bulgari
Sears & Kmart
Samsonite
1st & 2nd Quarter Announcements

Original Article found at Walletpop.com

Store closings will continue to outpace openings and rents will persist in a downward spiral, driving some shopping centers into foreclosure as the Valley’s job market continues to shrink.

That’s the grim assessment of the Valley’s retail sector from Marcus & Millichap Real Estate Investment Services. The firm’s third-quarter Retail Research Market Update said woes in the Valley’s retail real estate sector will persist for the remainder of 2009.

Although job losses slowed in the second quarter, those losses will still continue, prompting consumers to hold firmly onto their wallets. The Valley has shed jobs at twice the national rate since the economy went south, according to the report.

“We’re seeing everybody in the economic chain around retail properties just being hammered by all these different occurrences,” said Sanford Burstyn, a Marcus and Millichap retail broker.

Researchers at the firm forecast that the overall job market will shrink 5.8 percent this year, or by 104,000 workers. Last year, the job market shrank by 111,200 jobs.


Excerpt From Original Source With Comments & Permission Where Appropriate with original link below

Those losses and the persistent woes in the residential real estate market will drive rents down 7.3 percent from last to $15.84 per square foot.

The report went on to say that although the amount of newly constructed retail space in 2009 is expected to fall from 7.2 million square feet in 2008 to 2.9 million square feet in 2009, vacancies will keep creeping up as landlords struggle to replace closing stores. It said the threat of more Bashas’ closures “could impact valuations considerably among neighborhood centers anchored by Bashas’ and Food City stores.” Bashas’ recently entered Chapter 11 bankruptcy.

According to the report, the Mesa, Chandler and Gilbert submarket has the highest vacancy rate in the Valley at 12.6 percent. That will only increase as nearly 1.2 million square feet of space under construction starts to come online.

Retailers are struggling to make current rent payments due to rising unemployment and an ongoing retrenchment in retail sales. Sales dropped about 12 percent in the last year.

Because of a glut of space and less demand, rents are coming down and owners aren’t able to make mortgage payments, Burstyn said.

“If they’re not able to renegotiate those with the lenders or come up with more money … then those deals are going to get foreclosed on and get recycled out into the market,” he said.

Burstyn said this scenario has been playing out across the Valley for about a year now.

“It’s really unprecedented, and it’s continuing because we’re seeing tenants who came back and renegotiated leases and are coming back a second time,” he said.

Original article found at EastValleyTribune.


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  2. US Real Unemployment Rate at 17%: ADA

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